J Okvist,
Thank you for your reply.
J Okvist wrote:
You shouldnt even have brought that up its just so unlikely. And as i said u saw in the video that the 9 wasnt an out so that was the actual wrong part.
Yes. We saw that Hero has 18 outs in this hand.
J Okvist wrote:
So you cant make an example where the 9 is an out (snip)
I beg to differ and will proceed to do so.
J Okvist wrote:
So it was NEVER possible like u said for him to have 21 outs.
Firstly I agree its optimistic to expect it. On the other hand to suggest "NEVER" would be unrealistic. For example the Villain could have a hand like A8, A7, K8, Q8, 33, or 44 (remember the board is 2-7-8-5). In this case he didn't but he
could have one of those hands. I'm not saying its likely at all. I'm only saying its possible.
It is not correct to equate a possibility with something being likely to occur. I think you're mistaking me for thinking that the contrary is true. He could also have 5c6c giving Hero 20 outs.
J Okvist wrote:
And NO the probabilites is not at all towards 21 outs either its much more likely between 10-18 in the hand
The word 'towards' when I used it meant 'towards' and not as though you could read the sentence and remove the word 'towards' and have the sentence mean what it means without that word. I said 'towards' because I meant 'towards'.
J Okvist wrote:
worst case scenario up against higher flushdraws and then he has almost none outs
Yes, if you consider "almost none outs" to be twelve. In the event that Villain holds Ax, Qx or Kx of hearts, Hero's outs are:
3 jacks
3 tens
3 nines
3 sixes
for a 26.06% chance to make the best hand. Slightly better than 3 to 1.
J Okvist wrote:
Bluff-him-out-outs thats a new word how many outs do your reckon that is then? :)
And when in this particular hand do YOU think he could of used his so called bluff-outs??
Bluffing outs are cards which can come that scare Villain and they work best when Hero has position. They induce the Villain to check and (hopefully) to fold to Hero's bet. Alternatively a card can come which Hero can represent even though Villain has already bet. Maybe Villain's bet was a little weak. A raise would be a great idea on a scare card
if Hero has a good read that Villain will probably fold to the raise. I also think position itself is a bluffing out. I like to give myself 1 extra out when in-game if I have position.
J Okvist wrote:
Dont know what your talking about captalising on your alias i just responded to you it is your alias or do you want me to call you something else lol?
I actually made a minor mistake. The term I was referring to was actually Capitis Diminutio Maxima... I left out the Maxima part. It refers to the devaluing of a man by capitalising his name. I'm fairly sure in Roman times this was done to slaves. These days almost every business does it when they send you mail or call you on the phone, eg MR JOHN DOE. What they're doing is referring to your corporate entity rather than you the man. The reason they do that is because as they are corporations they literally cannot speak to living beings, they can only speak to other corporations in commerce.
This forum's not really appropriate for that discussion however.
J Okvist wrote:
And anyway as i said its not an attack on you personally as u seem to think althoguh i said that very clearly in the last post.
But as i explained carefully now u can see that you did do some mistakes and that was all i meant.
I took no offense whatesoever.
However I have made no mistakes as far as I can tell and if you again re-read
with care what I have written, this time bear in mind that:
It is not correct to equate a possibility with something being likely to occurYou'll should probably read each word carefully when I say "read with care" because when I use a word in a serious discussion I strongly tend to not make light of its use. In other words, tend to take each word I say literally.