Poker Videos  Free Poker Videos  Forum  Poker TV Shows  Poker Hand Replayer  Poker Channels  My admin  Shop

Poker Forum

Welcome to the Poker Forum
If you want to take part in any of the tournaments or promotions discussed in the forum use these links when download a new site.

888Poker        William Hill       

Notification

Icon
Error

  Active Discussions
Latest Posts
Today at 9:12:45 PM(UTC) by AussiePete Go to last post
Today at 8:50:05 PM(UTC) by Hunch Go to last post
Today at 7:56:35 PM(UTC) by zedmaster… Go to last post
Today at 6:14:02 PM(UTC) by kompressa… Go to last post
Today at 5:43:24 PM(UTC) by connectorz Go to last post
Today at 4:24:13 PM(UTC) by DoopyDoop Go to last post
Today at 3:55:02 PM(UTC) by Only1obie1 Go to last post

Taking on the table bully
chillyman2
#1 Posted : 12/17/2011 4:30:29 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 150

Thanks: 12 times
Here you can discuss the following hand.
Click link below to open hand replayer in pop-up window.

Taking on the table bully
plop
#2 Posted : 12/17/2011 5:01:20 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 770

Was thanked: 3 time(s) in 3 post(s)
"This was no easy call on the bubble. " That`s beacuse this is an easy fold on the bubble
r0nny72
#3 Posted : 12/17/2011 5:02:20 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 1 298

Thanks: 9 times
Was thanked: 22 time(s) in 21 post(s)

so why are you posting this ?

btw its -ev to call with 22s on the bubble.
karpov42
#4 Posted : 12/17/2011 7:00:55 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 3 802

Thanks: 17 times
Was thanked: 28 time(s) in 28 post(s)
He is posting this because he made quads.
Calling allin with decues on a sng bubble for 15bb is just....lolz
bryce87
#5 Posted : 12/17/2011 7:18:52 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 789

Thanks: 5 times
Was thanked: 12 time(s) in 12 post(s)
you are a hero to us all sir
Bear is gospel
connectorz
#6 Posted : 12/17/2011 7:43:22 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 5 187

Thanks: 89 times
Was thanked: 168 time(s) in 127 post(s)
1. This is a snap fold
2. lol @ Table Bully in a sng
3. Quads are pretty fun
chillyman2
#7 Posted : 12/17/2011 8:13:30 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 150

Thanks: 12 times
Thank you all for ur colour full feedback ThumpUp
jack kincaid
#8 Posted : 12/17/2011 8:17:56 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 1 997

Thanks: 2 times
Was thanked: 5 time(s) in 5 post(s)
You just punished someone pushing any two by giving him a 50% chance of winning 15bb with the anytwo he's pushing
chillyman2
#9 Posted : 12/17/2011 8:33:02 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 150

Thanks: 12 times
I dont play holdem s&g much but he just shoved with everything and I decided to go with my read.

obviously it was a coin flip (TT vs JK is the same). Hell if I gonna play scared againt a player who shoves with air. Ocourse its easy to fold 22, thats the point.

LMFAO, I won the damn match anyway.
r00ts
#10 Posted : 12/17/2011 9:42:36 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 4 770
Location: Netherlands

Thanks: 48 times
Was thanked: 64 time(s) in 58 post(s)
Originally Posted by: chillyman2 Go to Quoted Post
LMFAO, I won the damn match anyway.

Im sorry, this doesnt imply that u played the hand well
siggy mc sig sig
Cinarocket
#11 Posted : 12/17/2011 10:27:57 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 1 242

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 77 time(s) in 60 post(s)
Originally Posted by: r00ts Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: chillyman2 Go to Quoted Post
LMFAO, I won the damn match anyway.

Im sorry, this doesnt imply that u played the hand well


Why not?
eddycadub
#14 Posted : 12/17/2011 10:42:15 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 360

Thanks: 52 times
Was thanked: 28 time(s) in 25 post(s)
he won the hand, therefore he played the hand well, im with cina on this one
I'm a frog man :)
zigzag11
#12 Posted : 12/17/2011 11:29:54 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 220

Thanks: 4 times
Was thanked: 6 time(s) in 5 post(s)
Originally Posted by: chillyman2 Go to Quoted Post
I dont play holdem s&g much but he just shoved with everything and I decided to go with my read.


Your read was right. The damn donkey shoved with JTo and you put your tournament life on the line with 22. Now the only thing you have to do is win a flip EZ game ThumpUp
nutbreaker
#13 Posted : 12/17/2011 11:33:42 PM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 185

Thanks: 55 times
Was thanked: 11 time(s) in 11 post(s)
Originally Posted by: chillyman2 Go to Quoted Post

obviously it was a coin flip (TT vs JK is the same).


umm not the same, not even that close.


Joobs
#15 Posted : 12/18/2011 12:17:30 AM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 226

Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 20 post(s)
Chillyman there's a difference between playing scared and playing mathematically correct. Saying you were pretty confident he didn't have a pair is just silly, how could you possibly be so sure? Ok it's not a large part of his range but you can't just dismiss it. SnGs are one form of poker where caring about the money jumps instead of just 1st place is justifiable because the payout structure is so shallow. Just to prove it I'll do the maths. This all assumes equal skill obviously but any edge is going to be somewhat negligible given stack/blind ratio.

When you fold:

CO stack: 2790
Button stack: 3164
SB stack: 4788
Your stack: 2758

You come 1st: 2758/13500 = 0.204

CO comes 1st: 2790/13500 = 0.207

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-2790) = 0.258

Button comes 1st: 3164/13500 = 0.234

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-3164) = 0.267

SB comes 1st: 4788/13500 = 0.355

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-4788) = 0.317

You come 2nd total: 0.207*0.258 + 0.234*0.267 + 0.355*0.317 = 0.228

And so on. Not gonna show the calcs for when you come 3rd as it takes up far too much room for, what you can probably guess already, is a similar number (as all the stacks are fairly even).

You come 3rd: 0.259

So, assuming a standard 50/30/20 payout structure for a 9 man SnG this gives you, when you fold, a total average equity of:

0.204*0.5 + 0.228*0.3 + 0.259*0.2 = 0.222

When you win the stacks are

CO stack: 2790
Button stack: 3174
SB stack: 1530
Your stack: 6016

Repeating the calcs with these stack sizes gives you an equity of 0.352

Obviously when you lose you have an equity of 0.0.

When the sb shoves literally any 2 you have a total equity of 50.3% against his range (you can argue this could sway either way because he probably raise/calls the top of his range, but then he probably just mucks the very bottom of his range - either way it doesn't change the overall outcome much).

So your total average equity if you call is:

0.503*0.352 + 0.497*0.0 = 0.177 < 0.222

So by a considerable margin it's a fold.
2 users thanked Joobs for this useful post.
chillyman2 on 12/18/2011(UTC), BixBax on 12/18/2011(UTC)
pendragon
#17 Posted : 12/18/2011 4:52:22 AM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 438

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 50 time(s) in 42 post(s)
lol, just another retarded post by Chilly thinking he did well and getting ripped by the community. Just LOL "on the bubble' of a $3 single table SNG.....so dramatic. You just keep playing those deuces in that position, you will go far. LOL
www.youtube.com/user/BoobiesHooray


pendragon
#16 Posted : 12/18/2011 4:53:56 AM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 438

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 50 time(s) in 42 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Joobs Go to Quoted Post
Chillyman there's a difference between playing scared and playing mathematically correct. Saying you were pretty confident he didn't have a pair is just silly, how could you possibly be so sure? Ok it's not a large part of his range but you can't just dismiss it. SnGs are one form of poker where caring about the money jumps instead of just 1st place is justifiable because the payout structure is so shallow. Just to prove it I'll do the maths. This all assumes equal skill obviously but any edge is going to be somewhat negligible given stack/blind ratio.

When you fold:

CO stack: 2790
Button stack: 3164
SB stack: 4788
Your stack: 2758

You come 1st: 2758/13500 = 0.204

CO comes 1st: 2790/13500 = 0.207

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-2790) = 0.258

Button comes 1st: 3164/13500 = 0.234

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-3164) = 0.267

SB comes 1st: 4788/13500 = 0.355

You come 2nd: 2758/(13500-4788) = 0.317

You come 2nd total: 0.207*0.258 + 0.234*0.267 + 0.355*0.317 = 0.228

And so on. Not gonna show the calcs for when you come 3rd as it takes up far too much room for, what you can probably guess already, is a similar number (as all the stacks are fairly even).

You come 3rd: 0.259

So, assuming a standard 50/30/20 payout structure for a 9 man SnG this gives you, when you fold, a total average equity of:

0.204*0.5 + 0.228*0.3 + 0.259*0.2 = 0.222

When you win the stacks are

CO stack: 2790
Button stack: 3174
SB stack: 1530
Your stack: 6016

Repeating the calcs with these stack sizes gives you an equity of 0.352

Obviously when you lose you have an equity of 0.0.

When the sb shoves literally any 2 you have a total equity of 50.3% against his range (you can argue this could sway either way because he probably raise/calls the top of his range, but then he probably just mucks the very bottom of his range - either way it doesn't change the overall outcome much).

So your total average equity if you call is:

0.503*0.352 + 0.497*0.0 = 0.177 < 0.222

So by a considerable margin it's a fold.


Um Joobs, based on Chillyman's posts and comments you probably lost him at "Chillyman"
www.youtube.com/user/BoobiesHooray


karpov42
#18 Posted : 12/18/2011 11:36:04 AM(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Posts: 3 802

Thanks: 17 times
Was thanked: 28 time(s) in 28 post(s)
Joobs, you are the man, nice elaboration.
Users browsing this topic
Guest
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Powered by YAF | YAF © 2003-2011, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0,759 seconds.

Top 10 Poker Rooms

1.Winner
$2000 Bonus
2.888Poker
$8 FREE
3.Betathome
€1000 Bonus
4.William Hill
$2000 Bonus
5.Sky Poker
£5 FREE
6.Titan Poker
$2000 Bonus
7.PaddyPower
$2000 Bonus
8.Cardbet
€500 Bonus
9.PokerStars
$600 Bonus
10.Everest
$1000 Bonus